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The opposition feels that its combined strength is about two and a half times that of the BJP. BJP has got maximum about 38 percent votes in the 2019 elections. Now the NDA clan is almost scattered.

New Delhi: For the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, the pros and cons are going on. Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar is proclaiming opposition unity. He has recently gone from favor to opposition. After toppling the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) government in Bihar, Nitish formed a new government with the help of Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), Congress Party and Left parties. The father of NDA, BJP says that the dream of becoming Prime Minister again has awakened in Nitish, so he has again reversed. On the other hand, Mamata Banerjee, the most vocal leader of the opposition, has been seen in a different form since the time of the vice-presidential election. Desperate to play the role of the flag bearer of the opposition, Mamta has surprised everyone by suddenly changing her strategy. Now she seems to be moving forward on the policy of ‘Ekla Chalo Re’ even in the opposition. She was already showing her intention to keep herself apart from the Congress. On the other hand, when the CBI raided the house of Delhi Deputy Chief Minister Manish Sisodia, the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) started claiming that Prime Minister Narendra Modi is going to get a tough competition from Arvind Kejriwal in the 2014 elections, so tried to break our morale. He is going. In such a situation, it does not seem that despite all the efforts, this time also a joint candidate of the opposition will be fielded against Prime Minister Narendra Modi. So the question is, will the opposition clan be able to unite even if the circumstances arise after the elections? Recall that in the year 1996-97, the United Front was born in the circumstances arising out of the failure of the majority test of the then Atal Bihari Vajpayee government.

Opposition upset due to two things of PM Modi and BJP President

Fifth note of musical scale. Bengal Chief Minister and Trinamool Congress (TMC) chief Mamata Banerjee, like other opposition parties, believes that the BJP is trying to make India opposition-free. The heat of investigation of central agencies has reached his nephew Abhishek Banerjee and daughter-in-law Ruchira Banerjee. Party veteran and Mamta’s special friend Partha Chatterjee is in jail after getting a stock of notes. On the other hand, from Maharashtra, Bihar to Delhi, many big leaders of regional parties sitting in opposition everywhere are either in jail or they are afraid of jail. Then why talk about regional parties, Sonia Gandhi, the head of the Congress party, which has ruled the country for more than six decades, and former party chief Rahul Gandhi have been produced in the Enforcement Directorate (ED). The statements of two top leaders of the ruling party have created a special panic in the opposition camp amid the tightening noose of the investigating agencies on the opposition leaders. Remember, Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced from the ramparts of the Red Fort on this Independence Day that his campaign against corruption would gain momentum. The second statement came from the National President of BJP Jagat Prakash Nadda (JP Nadda) in Patna, the capital of Bihar. “All regional parties are dying out. Those that did not end, will soon be finished. Only Bharatiya Janata Party will survive.

JP Nadda statement on Regional Parties

Opposition Mukt Vs BJP Mukt Bharat Preparation
If the opposition does not listen to these statements, then why? After all, the same thing seems to be happening on the ground. Since the second term of the Modi government in 2019, the opposition parties are feeling the sword hanging over them all the time. At the same time, Operation Lotus, which has just reached Jharkhand through Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, is also giving evidence of Nadda’s statement. After all, in Bihar too, Nitish Kumar overturned by referring to the same Operation Lotus. He claimed that efforts were being made to break his party Janata Dal United (JDU) through Ramchandra Prasad Singh (RCP Singh), who was a minister at the Centre. Not only Nitish, RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav also said that Nadda expressed the intention of BJP, a campaign to wipe out regional parties is going on in which the help of central agencies is being taken. TMC leader Sukhendu Shekhar Rai on Saturday said that if the opposition parties do not unite and campaign for a ‘BJP-mukt Bharat’, the BJP will continue to get success day by day in doing ‘Opposition-mukt Bharat’. He says that the central agencies and the two weapons of Operation Lotus will kill the entire opposition one by one. However, the TMC will show solidarity with the opposition parties regarding the PM candidate, its chances are slim.

Mamata Banerjee: Mamata Banerjee will defeat Nitish’s plan, TMC preparing to fight alone in 2024
Congress embroiled in internal turmoil

As far as the Congress party is concerned, there is a ruckus in the election for the post of President. With several veteran leaders including Kapil Sibal and Ghulam Nabi Azad quitting the party, the demand for making public the voter list for the election of party chief is gaining momentum. Shashi Tharoor has supported this demand by writing a letter. Congress wants to be seen trying to mobilize its strength amid internal rifts. During the ED’s questioning of Sonia Gandhi and Rahul Gandhi, the performance of Congressmen across the country raised serious questions on the party leadership. A message went out across the country that the party has now become a tool for the benefit of the Gandhi family, if it had cared for the general public, there would have been agitations on the streets even on smoldering questions like inflation, unemployment, and not word of mouth. In an attempt to dispel this notion, the party has called for a big rally against inflation at Delhi’s Ramlila Maidan. On the other hand, Rahul Gandhi is busy building a strong foundation for the success of ‘Bharat Jodo Abhiyan’.

Nitish Kumar did not know the game plan of KCR, Telangana CM branded himself with the politics of ‘Uthak-meeting’
Opposition unity far-fetched

All this is fine, but the question then turns around that will the opposition be able to unite? According to the news published in our associate newspaper The Economic Times (ET), Mamata Banerjee is giving the message that she will fight the 2024 Lok Sabha elections on her own as she does not want to suppress her long-standing ambition of becoming the Prime Minister. On the other hand, political experts also support BJP’s claim that the feeling of himself being PM material started booming again in Nitish, that is why he has changed his side. If this is so, it certainly cannot be expected from Nitish Kumar that he himself will stand behind Mamata Banerjee or any other person. Telangana Chief Minister K. Chandrashekhar Rao (KCR) has not hesitated to lead the anti-Modi camp, but he is in such a state of confusion as to what he should do. One, he himself has a strong feeling of becoming a PM candidate. Whose side should they take if they are generous even after seeing that their name is not agreed upon? This is the reason why KCR did not talk about supporting Nitish on media questions after meeting Nitish in Patna. He asked the journalist who asked the question, ‘Who am I to announce the PM candidate?’ Nitish will also not be happy with this stand of KCR, but as a learned leader, he must also understand KCR’s confusion. Then, there is also the claim of Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal. Two obstacles in the way of opposition unity are clearly visible in the form of Mamata Banerjee and Arvind Kejriwal.

e05017e81b.jpgWho does not have 50 MLAs, how will he cover BJP in 50 seats, Nitish did not say much?
When it comes to the formation of a united front

So will the opposition be able to spoil the game of BJP and Prime Minister Narendra Modi even if the opposition is not united before the elections? If it manages to stop the NDA and mainly the BJP from bringing down the magic figure of 272, will there be a possibility of a post-poll alliance? You can say that the choice of toy is being debated before the baby is born. Politics is a game of possibilities, so the horses of ideas have to run in every direction. Leaders also envision every possible situation, so it is imperative to consider all possible future possibilities for an accurate assessment. After Nitish joining the opposition camp, it is being claimed that the BJP will get a significant setback in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections as compared to 2019. JDU President Lalan Singh even claimed that in these three states, Bihar, Jharkhand and West Bengal, BJP’s 40 seats will be reduced. His claims cannot be completely dismissed, but there is another side to the picture. For example, BJP’s seats are likely to increase in Maharashtra and there are 48 Lok Sabha seats there. On the other hand, BJP is also giving full emphasis on opening the doors of the South. Well, what will happen, what will not, that is in the womb of the future, but the question in front of the opposition is whether the leaders who will not be able to unite before the election, they will do their own thing after the elections for the big goal of ‘BJP free India’. Will you let go of your ambitions?

c350ddc8d9.jpgLalan Singh: Nitish Kumar’s warlord Lalan Singh’s challenge to BJP, will reduce 40 seats
Will the opposition be united even if given a chance after the election?

Indeed, the example of the United Front government of 1996 raises the hope that even a failure to form a pre-poll alliance can turn into a post-poll success. Remember in 1996, BJP became the single largest party by winning 161 seats. Atal Bihari Vajpayee also took oath as the Prime Minister, but could not pass the majority test. His government fell within 13 days. Then the Congress and Left parties supported HD Deve Gowda of Janata Dal from outside and got the new government formed. Parties like Samajwadi Party (SP), Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK), Asom Gana Parishad (AGP), Tamil Manila Congress (TMC), Telugu Desam Party (TDP) were also part of the United Front. It is a different matter that the Congress immediately got angry and Deve Gowda was replaced by Inder Kumar Gujral (IK Gujral) as PM. His tenure also lasted only one year and in 1998 Lok Sabha elections were held. Then Atal Bihari’s government ran for 13 months. Then with the efforts of Subramanian Swamy, Sonia Gandhi and then AIADMK chief J. Such a political game took place in the meeting between Jayalalithaa that the Vajpayee government lost the trust vote by a margin of just one vote.

e6e7fed770.jpg2024 Lok Sabha elections will be Modi vs Kejriwal… AAP leader claims after CBI raid at Sisodia’s house
Will the lock of opposition’s fate be opened this time?

It goes without saying that a United Front-like alliance can be formed in 2024 only if the BJP alone cannot reach 272 on its own. So is it possible? Let us investigate this too. In fact, in the last Lok Sabha election of 2019, BJP got 37.38% votes alone which gave it 303 seats. Compared to the 2014 elections, the BJP had an increase of 6.38 in terms of vote percentage while the number of seats increased by 21. So will the BJP’s position this time be worse than in 2014? The opposition parties feel that the problem of rising inflation and unemployment is taking a serious form, due to which the mind of the general public has started changing. However, these issues do not seem to be dominating much in the state assembly elections. The opposition feels that its combined strength is about two and a half times that of the BJP. BJP has got maximum around 38% votes in the 2019 elections. Now the NDA clan is almost scattered. Only parties with a limited support base like Ramdas Athawale’s Republican Party of India (RPI) in Maharashtra and Anupriya Patel’s Apna Dal in Uttar Pradesh have survived in the NDA. It is clear that almost 60% of the voters did not support BJP or NDA. This hope reminds the opposition of unity over and over again, but individual ambitions each time overshadow the larger goal. At least three poles are visible in the opposition in the form of Mamata Banerjee, Nitish Kumar and Arvind Kejriwal. The stand of the Congress on this is a big question in itself. The question is, will she be able to accept anyone other than Rahul Gandhi as prime minister? Right now it seems that the strength of the opposition in the form of Mamata Banerjee, Nitish Kumar, Arvind Kejriwal is its biggest weakness.

The article is in Hindi

Tags: opposition feels combined strength times BJP BJP maximum percent votes elections NDA clan scattered

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